Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 308.938576 351.397636 399.190086 457.289296 526.435180 606.626212 707.437671
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 239.060581 291.581853 356.250828 442.913984 557.839017 707.681594 922.379125
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 200.759745 255.936661 327.914992 430.835050 577.882980 786.392590 1115.962904
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 182.504235 241.434482 322.163583 444.279191 630.746451 916.367740 1412.213400
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 165.539606 225.574763 311.136328 446.716345 665.704804 1024.395392 1701.905851
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 149.235351 208.268411 295.150211 438.210472 680.481951 1100.938662 1957.065921
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 138.115601 197.091904 286.554448 439.363203 710.323013 1208.365975 2303.451029
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 126.371961 183.630238 272.663236 429.432956 718.404108 1276.447268 2589.736142
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 117.790945 174.179201 263.991246 426.926548 739.092630 1372.933356 2974.160292
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 106.978143 160.190875 246.429519 406.330727 721.560770 1386.211532 3159.455805
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 104.106806 158.798859 249.739259 423.941704 782.545534 1583.889369 3914.858400
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 102.452223 159.215773 256.092627 447.990351 861.299380 1844.111327 4990.164544
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 97.066448 152.989800 250.345318 448.233160 889.787575 1993.176524 5815.673740
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.244814 143.775858 238.392812 434.586154 884.627512 2054.442960 6377.222410
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 84.355732 135.765846 227.952222 422.781352 881.776388 2121.828288 7010.808716
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 82.120668 134.095159 229.234038 435.909189 942.171961 2390.792227 8699.140873
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 78.789666 130.168357 225.802626 438.288684 975.914001 2590.962818 10265.224109
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 74.558251 124.281990 218.030071 429.983671 979.994938 2697.295656 11460.984357
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 71.673258 120.713899 214.561755 431.109239 1010.097365 2903.697822 13459.579926
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 67.921283 115.263224 206.856973 421.412393 1008.026603 2995.228085 14864.039182
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 65.152649 111.527631 202.386523 418.964680 1026.749184 3173.217323 17117.809187
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 60.935543 104.754950 191.141544 398.847825 989.375860 3119.257939 17571.626429
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 60.360941 105.059175 194.784054 416.049621 1069.818166 3581.599931 23090.744679